Archivos por etiqueta: crop yield

US corn yield and production forecast 2017

(full size) Continuing with my crop monitoring and forecast, I will post here weekly predictions of the 2017 US corn crop. The total US corn production at the end of the season is estimated at 15,310,469 (x 1,000) bushels, or 333,339 (x 1,000) metric tons. This is a 1.6% increment with respect to last week’s estimation. As […]

US winter wheat yield and production forecast 2017

(full size) I’ve been playing around for a while with USDA NASS crop statistics, and have built a simple yet powerful Bayesian hierarchical network for predicting crop yields early in the season. Since the first USDA winter wheat yield forecast is due in less than a week (the next crop production report is programmed on May 10th), I thought […]